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La Liga Spain

08.03.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

08.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football

Sevilla

1 : 1

Finished

Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano March 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 3.07 / 2 2.82
1X2 market: Sevilla 35.3% / X 31.0% / Rayo Vallecano 33.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 35.3%

X 31.0%

2 33.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 42.5%

Under 2.5 57.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 08.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.83 market consensus · line only

X 3.08 market consensus · line only

1 2.70 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.47 market consensus · line only

12 1.37 market consensus · line only

1X 1.43 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.74 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.04 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.88 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.77 36.1%
X	3.14 31.9%
	2.87 34.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.60 38.5%	2.69 37.2%	2.79 35.8%	2.63 38.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.72 36.8%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.18 31.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.05 32.8%
	2.78 36.0%	2.88 34.7%	2.92 34.3%	2.75 36.4%	2.80 35.7%	2.82 35.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.90 52.6%	1.93 51.8%	1.86 53.8%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.84 54.4%	1.94 51.6%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.86 53.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.83 54.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.86 53.8%	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.45 69.0%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.44 69.4%	1.46 68.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.40 71.4%

Match center

Sevilla

D W D D L

01.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:2 Real Betis

22.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:0 Getafe

14.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:1 Alaves

08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:1 Girona

02.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:4 Mallorca

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

Rayo Vallecano

W D D W L

04.03 18:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Oviedo

28.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Athletic Club

21.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Real Betis

15.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Atletiko Madrid

01.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:2 Real Madrid

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla

1 matches total

Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Sevilla 1:0 (28.09 12:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 28.09 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

28.09 12:00 UTC

La Liga

Sevilla

1:0

Rayo Vallecano