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La Liga
La Liga Spain
22.04.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
22.04.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Espanyol

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
1 : 1
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Espanyol April 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.37 / 2 4.29
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 48.4% / X 28.9% / Espanyol 22.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 48.4%
X 28.9%
2 22.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 43.3%
Under 2.5 56.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.04.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.29 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.01 49.8%
X 3.37 29.7%
4.29 23.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.24 44.6%
Under 2.5 1.71 58.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.42 70.4%
3.04 32.9%
Match center
Valencia
D W W D L
19.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:0 SevillaSevilla
05.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
27.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 GetafeGetafe
21.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:3 Las PalmasLas Palmas
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Espanyol
W W W L L
18.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 GetafeGetafe
12.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:0 SeltaSelta
04.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 4:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 SevillaSevilla
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Espanyol

Valencia
0 matches total
Espanyol
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history