Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Espanyol

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
3 : 2
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Espanyol January 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 3.12 / 2 3.11
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 38.7% / X 30.6% / Espanyol 30.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 38.8%
X 30.6%
2 30.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.0%
Under 2.5 59.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 24.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.12 market consensus · line only
1 2.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.02 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.52 39.7%
X 3.15 31.8%
3.19 31.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.38 42.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.54 39.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.22 31.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Valencia
W D L D L
18.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:0 GetafeGetafe
10.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 ElcheElche
03.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:4 SeltaSelta
19.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 MallorcaMallorca
13.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Espanyol
L D L W W
16.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 GironaGirona
11.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:1 LevanteLevante
03.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
22.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
13.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 GetafeGetafe
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Espanyol

Valencia
2 matches total
Espanyol
Valencia: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (100%)
Espanyol: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 23.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (23.09 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia
2:2
Espanyol
22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia
1:1
Espanyol