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La Liga
La Liga Spain
29.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Getafe

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
3 : 0
Finished
Getafe
Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Getafe August 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 2.95 / 2 3.61
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 41.2% / X 32.4% / Getafe 26.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 41.2%
X 32.4%
2 26.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 33.1%
Under 2.5 66.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.62 market consensus · line only
X 2.95 market consensus · line only
1 2.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.33 42.9%
X 3.04 32.9%
3.71 27.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.20 45.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6%
X 3.00 33.3% 2.96 33.8% 3.04 32.9% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 3.05 32.8%
3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.67 27.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.37 73.0% 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Valencia
L D D L L
24.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:1 OsasunaOsasuna
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
23.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:1 AlavesAlaves
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Getafe
W W L W L
25.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:1 SevillaSevilla
17.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 SeltaSelta
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:2 SeltaSelta
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
15.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Getafe

Valencia
2 matches total
Getafe
Valencia: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Getafe: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Valencia 3:0 (10.05 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 10.05 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.10 14:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

10.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia
3:0
Getafe
27.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia
1:1
Getafe