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La Liga
La Liga Spain
21.11.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction
21.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Levante

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
1 : 0
Finished
Levante
Levante

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Levante November 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.51 / 2 3.62
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 46.6% / X 27.1% / Levante 26.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 46.6%
X 27.1%
2 26.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 52.3%
Under 2.5 47.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Levante

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.51 market consensus · line only
1 2.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.08 48.1%
X 3.59 27.9%
3.72 26.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.55 28.2% 3.64 27.5% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0%
3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.11 47.4% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.31 76.3%
Match center
Valencia
D L L D L
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
01.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 AlavesAlaves
04.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 GironaGirona
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Levante
L L D L W
08.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
02.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:2 SeltaSelta
26.10 13:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:1 MallorcaMallorca
19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:3 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
04.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:0 OviedoOviedo
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Levante

Valencia
0 matches total
Levante
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history