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La Liga Spain

08.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

08.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Valencia - Real Madrid

Spain Football

Valencia

0 : 2

Finished

Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Real Madrid February 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.34 / X 4.40 / 2 1.57
1X2 market: Valencia 17.8% / X 21.6% / Real Madrid 60.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 17.8%

X 21.6%

2 60.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 60.4%

Under 2.5 39.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 08.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Valencia - Real Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.57 market consensus · line only

X 4.41 market consensus · line only

1 5.36 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.16 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 2.39 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.94 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.19 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	5.67 17.6%
X	4.50 22.2%
	1.57 63.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	4.85 20.6%	5.40 18.5%	5.54 18.1%	5.00 20.0%	5.25 19.1%	5.20 19.2%
X	4.30 23.3%	4.60 21.7%	4.62 21.7%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.45 22.5%
	1.58 63.3%	1.56 64.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.65 60.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.20 45.5%	2.21 45.3%	2.19 45.7%	2.15 46.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.16 46.3%	2.28 43.9%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.11 90.1%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	2.30 43.5%	2.46 40.7%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.35 42.6%	2.40 41.7%

Match center

Valencia

L W W D L

01.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:2 Real Betis

24.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 3:2 Espanyol

18.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:0 Getafe

10.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:1 Elche

03.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:4 Selta

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Real Madrid

W W W W W

01.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Rayo Vallecano

24.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Villarreal

17.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Levante

04.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 5:1 Real Betis

20.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Sevilla

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.6 Scored

0.4 Conceded

15 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Real Madrid

Valencia

2 matches total

Real Madrid

Valencia: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Madrid: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Real Madrid 0:4 (01.11 20:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 01.11 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 2

Match history

01.11 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Valencia

0:4

Real Madrid

05.04 14:15 UTC

La Liga

Valencia

2:1

Real Madrid