Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
25.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Villarreal

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
0 : 2
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Villarreal October 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.49 / X 3.56 / 2 2.09
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 27.4% / X 26.8% / Villarreal 45.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 27.4%
X 26.9%
2 45.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 53.0%
Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 25.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.09 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 3.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.77 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.96 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.18 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.68 27.2%
X 3.59 27.9%
2.09 47.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.62 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.45 29.0%
2.02 49.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.12 47.2% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0%
Match center
Valencia
D L L D W
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 AlavesAlaves
04.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 GironaGirona
30.09 18:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 OviedoOviedo
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:2 EspanyolEspanyol
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Villarreal
D L W W W
18.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:2 Real BetisReal Betis
04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 SevillaSevilla
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 OsasunaOsasuna
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Villarreal

Valencia
0 matches total
Villarreal
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history