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La Liga
La Liga Spain
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
24.05.2026 19:00 UTC 38 round
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Atletico Madrid

Spain Football
Villarreal
Villarreal
5 : 1
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Villarreal face Atletico Madrid on May 24, 2026 in the La Liga, Spain.

Recent form (W-D-L): Villarreal 2-1-2, Atletico Madrid 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Villarreal at roughly 37%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Atletico Madrid May 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 3.74 / 2 2.54
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 37.5% / X 25.3% / Atletico Madrid 37.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4% 14 books · best price +4.1%
1 37.4%
X 25.2%
2 37.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 66.2%
Under 2.5 33.8%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Keramika (Vilyarreal, Spain), 18 682 zritelya (76% pri vmestimosti 24 500)
Referee Migel Sesma Espinosa
Start 24.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 37.4% @ 2.53 / X 25.3% @ 3.74 / 2 37.3% @ 2.54
Match center

Villarreal - Atletico Madrid

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Vilyarreal - Atletiko M, 24 maya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 38-y Round. Vilyarreal - Atletiko M, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
2 2.54 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.48 40.3% 2.58 38.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.91 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0% 3.75 26.7%
2.48 40.3% 2.68 37.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.82 35.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.04 32.9% 2.77 36.1%
yes 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7% 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.75 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.0 1.11 90.1%
Over 2.25 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5%
Over 2.75 1.45 69.0%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 4.5 3.40 29.4%
Over 5.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 1.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 3.5 1.73 57.8%
Under 4.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 5.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Villarreal
KhF Khuan Foyt zsch
Atletico Madrid
NM Nauel Molina zsch
KhA Khulian Alvares np
KhKh Khose Khimenes Diskvalifitsirovannye zsch
RL Roben Le Norman CHAMP zsch
Match center
Villarreal
L L D W W
17.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:3 SevillaSevilla
10.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:1 MallorcaMallorca
02.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 5:1 LevanteLevante
26.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 SeltaSelta
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Atletico Madrid
W W L W W
17.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:0 GironaGirona
12.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 2:1 OsasunaOsasuna
09.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:1 SeltaSelta
02.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 2:0 ValenciaValencia
25.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Atletico Madrid

Villarreal
1 matches total
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atletico Madrid: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atletiko Madrid 0:2 (13.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 13.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal
0:2
Atletiko Madrid
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Villarreal
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Atletico Madrid
Villarreal Team comparison Atletico Madrid
37 Games 37
21 Wins 21
6 Draws 6
10 Losses 10
67 Scored 61
45 Conceded 39
69 Points 69
81.33 Attacks 113.29
41.52 Dangerous attacks 55.88
0 Big chances 0
11.59 Shots on goal 13.11
4.49 Shots on target 5.16
deniya 2.05 0.08 Sendoffs 0.14 Goly Dani Parekho 1:0 30' Ayose Peres 2:0 34' Zhorzh Mikautadze Ayose Peres 3:0 40' Mark Pubil Antuan Grizmann 3:1 43' Pap Geye Nikolya Pepe 4:1 45' Ayose Peres Nikolya Pepe 5:1 54' Nakazaniya Dzhuliano Simeone 27'

Vilyarreal Atletiko M 37 Games 37 21 Wins 21 6 Draws 6 10 Losses 10 67 Scored 61 45 Conceded 39 69 Points 69 81.33 Attacks 113.29 41.52 Dangerous attacks 55.88 0 Big chances 0 11.59 Shots on goal 13.11 4.49 Udary v stvor 5.16 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.16 Uglovye 6.38 1.81 Offsaydy 2.08 12.22 Foly 11.16 44.51 % vladeniya myachom 53.41 2.08 Warnings 2.05 0.08 Sendoffs 0.14 Goly Dani Parekho 1:0 30' Ayose Peres 2:0 34' Zhorzh Mikautadze Ayose Peres 3:0 40' Mark Pubil Antuan Grizmann 3:1 43' Pap Geye Nikolya Pepe 4:1 45' Ayose Peres Nikolya Pepe 5:1 54' Nakazaniya Dzhuliano Simeone 27'