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La Liga
La Liga Spain
08.03.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
08.03.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Elche

Spain Football
Villarreal
Villarreal
2 : 1
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Elche March 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.61 / 2 6.31
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 64.1% / X 20.7% / Elche 15.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 64.1%
X 20.7%
2 15.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 59.6%
Under 2.5 40.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.03.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Elche

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.35 market consensus · line only
X 4.62 market consensus · line only
1 1.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.68 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.67 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.48 67.6%
X 4.80 20.8%
6.90 14.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.58 63.3% 1.50 66.7% 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8%
X 4.35 23.0% 4.85 20.6% 4.82 20.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%
6.60 15.2% 6.30 15.9% 5.64 17.7% 5.75 17.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.60 15.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.13 47.0%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.65 37.7% 2.53 39.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.63 38.0%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.18 84.8% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Villarreal
L W W L W
28.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:4 BarselonaBarselona
22.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 ValenciaValencia
18.02 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:0 LevanteLevante
14.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:2 GetafeGetafe
09.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 4:1 EspanyolEspanyol
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Elche
D L D L L
01.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 EspanyolEspanyol
20.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
13.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
07.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
31.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Elche

Villarreal
1 matches total
Elche
Villarreal: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Elche: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Villarreal 3:1 (03.01 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 03.01 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

03.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal
3:1
Elche