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La Liga
La Liga Spain
03.05.2025 14:15 UTC Match prediction
03.05.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Osasuna

Spain Football
Villarreal
Villarreal
4 : 2
Finished
Osasuna
Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Osasuna May 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 5.04 / 2 7.17
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 67.3% / X 19.2% / Osasuna 13.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 67.3%
X 19.2%
2 13.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 60.8%
Under 2.5 39.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.17 market consensus · line only
X 5.04 market consensus · line only
1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.99 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.44 69.4%
X 5.04 19.8%
7.17 14.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.99 33.4%
home_away 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.59 62.9%
Under 2.5 2.47 40.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.17 85.5%
5.76 17.4%
Match center
Villarreal
W L D W D
27.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:0 EspanyolEspanyol
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:3 SeltaSelta
20.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
13.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 Real BetisReal Betis
06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Osasuna
W W W D W
24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:0 SevillaSevilla
20.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:2 Valladolid
13.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 GironaGirona
07.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Leganes
27.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Osasuna

Villarreal
0 matches total
Osasuna
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history