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La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Real Betis

Spain Football
Villarreal
Villarreal
2 : 2
Finished
Real Betis
Real Betis

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Real Betis October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.72 / 2 3.53
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 46.7% / X 26.0% / Real Betis 27.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 46.8%
X 25.9%
2 27.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 60.3%
Under 2.5 39.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Real Betis

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 market consensus · line only
X 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 2.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.80 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.58 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.09 47.9%
X 3.65 27.4%
3.63 27.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.06 48.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.09 47.9% 2.09 47.9%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.82 26.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.74 26.7% 3.65 27.4% 3.65 27.4%
3.45 29.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.62 27.6% 3.63 27.6% 3.63 27.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.62 38.2% 2.53 39.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.53 65.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.84 54.4% 1.73 57.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.31 76.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Villarreal
L W W W L
04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 SevillaSevilla
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 OsasunaOsasuna
13.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Real Betis
W W W D L
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
28.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:0 OsasunaOsasuna
19.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 3:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:2 LevanteLevante
31.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Real Betis

Villarreal
1 matches total
Real Betis
Villarreal: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Betis: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Villarreal 2:1 (13.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 13.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

13.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Real Betis