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La Liga Spain

22.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

22.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Villarreal - Valencia

Spain Football

Villarreal

2 : 1

Finished

Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Valencia February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 3.87 / 2 4.74
1X2 market: Villarreal 55.3% / X 24.6% / Valencia 20.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 55.3%

X 24.6%

2 20.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 52.3%

Under 2.5 47.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Villarreal - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.75 market consensus · line only

X 3.87 market consensus · line only

1 1.72 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.13 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.19 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.65 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.25 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.60 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.98 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.75 57.1%
X	3.92 25.5%
	4.86 20.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.70 58.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.77 56.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%
X	3.75 26.7%	3.95 25.3%	4.01 24.9%	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%	3.95 25.3%
	4.65 21.5%	4.65 21.5%	4.98 20.1%	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%	4.90 20.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%	1.96 51.0%	2.07 48.3%
yes	1.77 56.5%	1.84 54.4%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.10 47.6%	2.17 46.1%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.00 50.0%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.14 87.7%

Match center

Villarreal

W L W D L

18.02 19:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 1:0 Levante

14.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 1:2 Getafe

09.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 4:1 Espanyol

31.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:2 Osasuna

24.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 0:2 Real Madrid

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Valencia

W L L W W

15.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Valencia 2:0 Levante

08.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:2 Real Madrid

01.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:2 Real Betis

24.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 3:2 Espanyol

18.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:0 Getafe

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Valencia

Villarreal

1 matches total

Valencia

Villarreal: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Valencia: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Villarreal 2:0 (25.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 25.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

25.10 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Villarreal

2:0

Valencia