AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Monaco. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Ligue 1
Monaco - Lyon
Monaco face Lyon on May 10, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.
Recent form (W-D-L): Monaco 2-2-1, Lyon 3-0-2. The bookmaker line makes Monaco the favourite at about 52%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Monaco - Lyon May 10, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 4.36 / 2 3.75
- 1X2 market: Monaco 51.7% / X 22.3% / Lyon 25.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Monaco - Lyon
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| X | 4.36 22.9% |
| 3.75 26.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.02 49.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.31 76.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 2.91 34.4% |
Monaco
Saint Etienne
Khavre
Strasbur
Marsel
Brest
Lyon
Lans
Rennes
Saint Etienne
Oser
Lill
Full head-to-head history: Monaco - Lyon
Match history
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The Monaco - Lyon breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Monaco vs Lyon start?
May 10, 2025.