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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
10.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Lyon

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
2 : 0
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Lyon May 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 4.36 / 2 3.75
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 51.7% / X 22.3% / Lyon 25.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 51.7%
X 22.3%
2 25.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.75 market consensus · line only
X 4.36 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.88 53.2%
X 4.36 22.9%
3.75 26.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.02 49.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.31 76.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 3.5 1.95 51.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.45 69.0%
2.91 34.4%
Match center
Monaco
W D D W L
03.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
26.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
19.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
12.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:0 MarseilleMarseille
05.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Lyon
L W L W W
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:2 LensLens
26.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 4:1 RennesRennes
20.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
13.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
05.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 LilleLille
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Lyon

Monaco
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history