AI verdict

AI pick Monaco win probability ~47% best odds 2.04

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Monaco. Full breakdown below.

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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
12.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco vs Marseille — Football prediction

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
3 : 0
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Monaco take on Marseille on April 12, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Monaco 2-1-2, Marseille 2-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Monaco, an implied 47% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Marseille April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.91 / 2 3.46
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 47.4% / X 24.7% / Marseille 27.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 47.4%
X 24.7%
2 27.9%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Market 1 47.4% @ 2.04 / X 24.7% @ 3.91 / 2 27.9% @ 3.46
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Match center

Monaco - Marseille

Form 5/5 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 2.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.84 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.04 49.0%
X 3.91 25.6%
3.46 28.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.84 54.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.34 74.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 3.5 1.67 59.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.53 65.4%
2.60 38.5%
Match center
Monaco
L L D W W
05.04 17:00 UTC Liga 1
Monaco 1:2 BrestBrest
27.10 15:00 UTC Liga 1
Monaco 1:2 NitstsaNitstsa
18.10 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Monaco 0:0 LillLill
05.10 19:00 UTC Liga 1
Monaco 2:1 RennesRennes
28.09 19:00 UTC Liga 1
Monaco 2:1 Montpellier
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Marseille
W L W D L
06.04 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Marseille 3:2 TuluzaTuluza
27.10 19:45 UTC Liga 1
Marseille 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
20.10 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Marseille 5:0 Montpellier
04.10 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Marseille 1:1 AnzheAnzhe
29.09 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Marseille 0:1 StrasburStrasbur
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Monaco - Marseille

Monaco
0 matches total
Marseille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Monaco vs Marseille?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Monaco. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Monaco vs Marseille?

Live odds for Monaco vs Marseille from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Monaco vs Marseille start?

April 12, 2025.