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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.02.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
22.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Lille

France Football
Angers
Angers
0 : 1
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Lille February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.55 / X 3.50 / 2 1.83
  • 1X2 market: Angers 20.9% / X 27.2% / Lille 52.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 20.9%
X 27.2%
2 51.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 45.0%
Under 2.5 55.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Angers - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.51 market consensus · line only
1 4.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.99 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.54 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.78 20.9%
X 3.65 27.4%
1.83 54.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.45 22.5% 4.45 22.5% 4.72 21.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.64 27.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4%
Match center
Angers
L W W D L
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LorientLorient
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 MetzMetz
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
17.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:5 MarseilleMarseille
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Lille
D D L L L
14.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
06.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:0 MetzMetz
01.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:1 LionLion
25.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:4 StrasbourgStrasbourg
16.01 20:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Lille

Angers
2 matches total
Lille
Angers: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lille: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Lille 0:2 (27.04 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 27.04 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
0:1
Lille
27.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
0:2
Lille