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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
26.10.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Lorient

France Football
Angers
Angers
2 : 0
Finished
Lorient
Lorient

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Lorient October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Angers.

Line favourite market consensus: Angers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 3.04 / 2 2.89
  • 1X2 market: Angers 35.7% / X 31.4% / Lorient 32.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 35.7%
X 31.3%
2 33.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 40.1%
Under 2.5 59.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Angers - Lorient

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.04 market consensus · line only
1 2.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.92 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.78 36.0%
X 3.04 32.9%
2.96 33.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.66 37.6% 2.68 37.3% 2.74 36.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.16 31.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.84 35.2% 2.89 34.6% 2.99 33.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Angers
D L L L D
18.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 MonacoMonaco
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:5 StrasbourgStrasbourg
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
19.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LionLion
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 MetzMetz
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Lorient
D L W D L
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
03.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:2 Paris FCParis FC
27.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:1 MonacoMonaco
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
12.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:4 MarseilleMarseille
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Lorient

Angers
0 matches total
Lorient
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history