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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
01.02.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
01.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Metz

France Football
Angers
Angers
1 : 0
Finished
Metz
Metz

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Metz February 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Angers.

Line favourite market consensus: Angers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.25 / 2 3.51
  • 1X2 market: Angers 43.7% / X 29.2% / Metz 27.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 43.7%
X 29.2%
2 27.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Angers - Metz

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.52 market consensus · line only
X 3.25 market consensus · line only
1 2.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.21 45.3%
X 3.32 30.1%
3.64 27.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.14 46.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.39 29.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
3.45 29.0% 3.45 29.0% 3.64 27.5% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Angers
D L L W W
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
17.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:5 MarseilleMarseille
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
12.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 4:1 NantesNantes
07.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NiceNice
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Metz
L L D L L
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:5 LionLion
18.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:1 LorientLorient
13.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:3 AuxerreAuxerre
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.8 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Metz

Angers
1 matches total
Metz
Angers: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Metz: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 14.09 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (14.09 15:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:1
Metz