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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.08.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
17.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Paris FC

France Football
Angers
Angers
1 : 0
Finished
Paris FC
Paris FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Paris FC August 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris FC.

Line favourite Fonbet: Paris FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.30 / X 3.25 / 2 2.36
  • 1X2 market: Angers 29.3% / X 29.8% / Paris FC 41.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 29.3%
X 29.7%
2 41.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Angers - Paris FC

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.36 Fonbet · line only
X 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.23 31.0%
X 3.45 29.0%
2.34 42.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.28 30.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.46 28.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.37 42.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.27 44.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.10 47.6% 1.90 52.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Angers
L W W L L
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LionLion
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
04.05 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NantesNantes
27.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LilleLille
20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 NiceNice
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Paris FC

Angers
0 matches total
Paris FC
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history