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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
17.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Lorient

France Football
Auxerre
Auxerre
1 : 0
Finished
Lorient
Lorient

Auxerre take on Lorient on August 17, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Sportsbooks lean towards Auxerre, an implied 39% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Lorient August 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Auxerre.

Line favourite Fonbet: Auxerre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / X 3.15 / 2 3.15
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 38.7% / X 30.7% / Lorient 30.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4% 18 books · best price +5.0%
1 39.2%
X 29.4%
2 31.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 46.5%
Under 2.5 53.5%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Market 1 38.7% @ 2.50 / X 30.7% @ 3.15 / 2 30.7% @ 3.15
Match center

Auxerre - Lorient

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.15 Fonbet · line only
X 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.97 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.47 40.5%
X 3.31 30.2%
3.13 32.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.40 41.7% 2.41 41.5% 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
3.00 33.3% 2.93 34.1% 3.13 32.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Auxerre
L D L W L
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:1 NantesNantes
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 4:0 LensLens
20.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LilleLille
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Lorient

Auxerre
0 matches total
Lorient
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history