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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
08.02.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
08.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Paris FC

France Football
Auxerre
Auxerre
0 : 0
Finished
Paris FC
Paris FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Paris FC February 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Auxerre.

Line favourite market consensus: Auxerre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 3.19 / 2 2.90
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 37.5% / X 29.8% / Paris FC 32.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 37.5%
X 29.8%
2 32.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 45.1%
Under 2.5 54.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Auxerre - Paris FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.91 market consensus · line only
X 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 2.53 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.59 38.6%
X 3.26 30.7%
2.99 33.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.50 40.0% 2.51 39.8% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.29 30.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.76 36.2% 2.92 34.3% 3.02 33.1% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.87 34.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 2.01 49.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Auxerre
D L L L L
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 ToulouseToulouse
23.01 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
17.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 LensLens
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:4 LilleLille
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
1 Points
Paris FC
D D W L L
31.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:2 MarseilleMarseille
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:0 AngersAngers
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:1 NantesNantes
04.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
13.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:3 ToulouseToulouse
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Paris FC

Auxerre
1 matches total
Paris FC
Auxerre: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Paris FC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 29.11 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (29.11 18:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

29.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:1
Paris FC