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Ligue 1 France

23.01.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

23.01.2026 19:00 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Auxerre - Paris Saint Germain

France Football

Auxerre

0 : 1

Finished

Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Paris Saint Germain January 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 10.16 / X 5.73 / 2 1.28
1X2 market: Auxerre 9.4% / X 16.6% / Paris Saint Germain 73.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 61.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 9.3%

X 16.6%

2 74.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%

Over 2.5 61.2%

Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.01.2026 19:00 UTC

Match center

Auxerre - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.28 market consensus · line only

X 5.76 market consensus · line only

1 9.32 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.06 market consensus · line only

12 1.14 market consensus · line only

1X 3.62 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.07 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.41 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 7.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.80 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	10.85 9.2%
X	6.15 16.3%
	1.28 78.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	9.10 11.0%	11.00 9.1%	11.40 8.8%	9.00 11.1%	11.00 9.1%	10.25 9.8%
X	5.40 18.5%	6.00 16.7%	6.04 16.6%	5.00 20.0%	5.75 17.4%	5.80 17.2%
	1.29 77.5%	1.26 79.4%	1.31 76.3%	1.29 77.5%	1.27 78.7%	1.33 75.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.80 55.6%	1.74 57.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.82 55.0%	1.87 53.5%	1.74 57.5%	1.79 55.9%
yes	1.90 52.6%	2.06 48.5%	1.98 50.5%	1.85 54.1%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.98 50.5%	2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.06 94.3%	1.08 92.6%	1.06 94.3%
home_away	1.13 88.5%	1.16 86.2%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%
home_draw	3.40 29.4%	3.80 26.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.55 28.2%	3.82 26.2%

Match center

Auxerre

L L L W D

17.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 0:1 Lens

04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 0:2 Stade Brestois 29

14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 3:4 Lille

07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 3:1 Metz

29.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 1:1 Paris FC

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Paris Saint Germain

W W W W L

16.01 20:00 UTC Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain 3:0 Lille

04.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain 2:1 Paris FC

13.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain 3:2 Metz

06.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain 5:0 Rennes

29.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain 0:1 Monaco

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Paris Saint Germain

Auxerre

2 matches total

Paris Saint Germain

Auxerre: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Paris Saint Germain: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 0:2 (27.09 19:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 17.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.09 19:05 UTC

Ligue 1

Auxerre

0:2

Paris Saint Germain

17.05 19:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Auxerre

1:3

Paris Saint Germain