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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.02.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
22.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Rennes

France Football
Auxerre
Auxerre
0 : 3
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Rennes February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.97 / X 3.33 / 2 2.40
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 32.0% / X 28.5% / Rennes 39.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 32.0%
X 28.5%
2 39.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 50.1%
Under 2.5 49.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Auxerre - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 market consensus · line only
X 3.33 market consensus · line only
1 2.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.57 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.11 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.07 32.6%
X 3.39 29.5%
2.46 40.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.98 33.6% 2.95 33.9% 3.08 32.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
2.32 43.1% 2.40 41.7% 2.49 40.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Auxerre
W D D L L
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:1 MetzMetz
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 ToulouseToulouse
23.01 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
17.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 LensLens
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
5 Points
Rennes
W L L L D
13.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
07.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:3 LensLens
31.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:4 MonacoMonaco
24.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:2 LorientLorient
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Rennes

Auxerre
2 matches total
Rennes
Auxerre: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Auxerre 1:0 (06.04 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 19.10 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (19.10 15:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
2:2
Rennes
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:0
Rennes