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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
24.08.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
24.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Lens

France Football
Le Havre
Le Havre
1 : 2
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Lens August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.52 / X 3.74 / 2 1.77
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 21.1% / X 25.4% / Lens 53.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 21.0%
X 25.4%
2 53.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 52.1%
Under 2.5 47.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Lens

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
1 4.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.83 20.7%
X 3.75 26.7%
1.80 55.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.50 22.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.71 21.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.93 25.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.65 27.4%
1.75 57.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.11 47.4%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6%
Match center
Le Havre
L W L W D
16.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MonacoMonaco
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MarseilleMarseille
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
26.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 MonacoMonaco
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Lens
L W D W L
16.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:1 LionLion
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 4:0 MonacoMonaco
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 ToulouseToulouse
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 LionLion
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:4 AuxerreAuxerre
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Lens

Le Havre
0 matches total
Lens
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history