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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
08.11.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Nantes

France Football
Le Havre
Le Havre
1 : 1
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Nantes November 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Le Havre.

Line favourite market consensus: Le Havre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.40 / 2 4.73
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 51.9% / X 28.0% / Nantes 20.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 51.9%
X 28.0%
2 20.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 44.4%
Under 2.5 55.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.11.2025 18:00 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.76 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.83 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.98 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.68 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.84 54.4%
X 3.46 28.9%
5.07 19.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.58 27.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
4.85 20.6% 4.80 20.8% 4.78 20.9% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.85 20.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Le Havre
D W W L D
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 ToulouseToulouse
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
18.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:6 MarseilleMarseille
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:2 RennesRennes
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Nantes
L L W L D
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 MetzMetz
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 3:5 MonacoMonaco
24.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:1 Paris FCParis FC
19.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 LilleLille
04.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Nantes

Le Havre
0 matches total
Nantes
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history