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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
05.10.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Rennes

France Football
Le Havre
Le Havre
2 : 2
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Rennes October 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 3.44 / 2 2.34
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 31.7% / X 27.7% / Rennes 40.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 31.7%
X 27.6%
2 40.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 3.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.61 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.13 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.15 31.8%
X 3.46 28.9%
2.38 42.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.98 33.6% 2.93 34.1% 3.04 32.9% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.65 27.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4%
2.32 43.1% 2.43 41.2% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.27 44.1%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Le Havre
D D L W L
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 MetzMetz
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 LorientLorient
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:1 NiceNice
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:2 LensLens
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Rennes
D D W D L
28.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:0 LensLens
20.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 NantesNantes
14.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 LionLion
31.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 AngersAngers
24.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:4 LorientLorient
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Rennes

Le Havre
2 matches total
Rennes
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rennes: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Rennes 1:5 (13.04 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 13.04 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 1

Match history

13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:5
Rennes
25.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
0:1
Rennes