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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
08.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Strasbourg

France Football
Le Havre
Le Havre
2 : 1
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Strasbourg February 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.31 / X 3.68 / 2 1.81
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 22.0% / X 25.8% / Strasbourg 52.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 22.0%
X 25.7%
2 52.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Strasbourg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 4.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.98 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.39 22.8%
X 3.87 25.8%
1.83 54.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.62 21.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.75 26.7% 3.88 25.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7%
1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4%
Match center
Le Havre
L D D W L
30.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LensLens
24.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 MonacoMonaco
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 RennesRennes
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 AngersAngers
14.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LionLion
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Strasbourg
L W W D D
01.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
25.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 4:1 LilleLille
18.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:1 MetzMetz
03.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 NiceNice
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 LorientLorient
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Strasbourg

Le Havre
2 matches total
Strasbourg
Le Havre: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Strasbourg: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Strasbourg 0:1 (14.09 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 17.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
0:1
Strasbourg
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
3:2
Strasbourg