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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
27.04.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
27.04.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Auxerre

France Football
Lens
Lens
0 : 4
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Auxerre April 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.51 / 2 5.92
  • 1X2 market: Lens 62.1% / X 21.5% / Auxerre 16.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 62.1%
X 21.5%
2 16.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 58.9%
Under 2.5 41.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.04.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Lens - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.92 market consensus · line only
X 4.51 market consensus · line only
1 1.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.56 64.1%
X 4.51 22.2%
5.92 16.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.58 38.8%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.16 86.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.64 61.0%
Under 2.5 2.35 42.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.22 82.0%
4.63 21.6%
Match center
Lens
W L W L W
20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
11.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 Reims
06.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
26.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 LilleLille
19.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Auxerre
L L W D W
20.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LilleLille
13.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LionLion
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:0 RennesRennes
27.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:2 LionLion
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:1 Reims
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Auxerre

Lens
0 matches total
Auxerre
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history