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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.01.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
17.01.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Auxerre

France Football
Lens
Lens
1 : 0
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Auxerre January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.51 / 2 7.67
  • 1X2 market: Lens 66.5% / X 21.1% / Auxerre 12.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 66.5%
X 21.1%
2 12.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 54.8%
Under 2.5 45.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.01.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Lens - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 market consensus · line only
X 4.51 market consensus · line only
1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.44 69.4%
X 4.56 21.9%
8.16 12.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.45 22.5% 4.60 21.7% 4.72 21.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5%
8.20 12.2% 7.80 12.8% 8.00 12.5% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 8.00 12.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.85 35.1% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.93 34.1%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Lens
W W W W W
02.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 ToulouseToulouse
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:0 NiceNice
06.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 NantesNantes
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 AngersAngers
22.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
15 Points
Auxerre
L L W D D
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:4 LilleLille
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:1 MetzMetz
29.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:1 Paris FCParis FC
23.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 LionLion
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Auxerre

Lens
2 matches total
Auxerre
Lens: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Auxerre: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Auxerre 0:4 (27.04 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 27.04 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 2

Match history

04.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
2:1
Auxerre
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
0:4
Auxerre