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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
30.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Le Havre

France Football
Lens
Lens
1 : 0
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Le Havre January 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 4.71 / 2 6.54
  • 1X2 market: Lens 65.4% / X 20.1% / Le Havre 14.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 65.4%
X 20.1%
2 14.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 58.7%
Under 2.5 41.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lens - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.56 market consensus · line only
X 4.71 market consensus · line only
1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.90 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.60 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.45 69.0%
X 4.65 21.5%
6.87 14.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.41 70.9% 1.48 67.6% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.70 21.3% 4.75 21.1% 4.83 20.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.90 20.4%
6.60 15.2% 6.10 16.4% 6.35 15.8% 6.00 16.7% 6.25 16.0% 6.90 14.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.88 53.2% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.80 35.7% 2.67 37.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.67 37.5%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Lens
L W W W W
24.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:3 MarseilleMarseille
17.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
02.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 ToulouseToulouse
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:0 NiceNice
06.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 NantesNantes
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Le Havre
D D W L D
24.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 MonacoMonaco
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 RennesRennes
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 AngersAngers
14.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LionLion
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Le Havre

Lens
1 matches total
Le Havre
Lens: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Lens 2:1 (24.08 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 24.08 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
2:1
Le Havre