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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
19.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Paris FC

France Football
Lens
Lens
2 : 1
Finished
Paris FC
Paris FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Paris FC October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.76 / 2 3.99
  • 1X2 market: Lens 50.8% / X 25.3% / Paris FC 23.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 50.9%
X 25.3%
2 23.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 55.2%
Under 2.5 44.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lens - Paris FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.94 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.91 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.18 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.90 52.6%
X 3.79 26.4%
4.18 23.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.96 25.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7%
3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.04 24.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.16 46.3% 2.29 43.7%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Lens
W D W L W
04.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
28.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:0 RennesRennes
20.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 LilleLille
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
29.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Paris FC
W D L W W
03.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:0 LorientLorient
28.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 NiceNice
21.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 3:2 MetzMetz
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Paris FC

Lens
0 matches total
Paris FC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history