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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
08.03.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
08.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lille - Lorient

France Football
Lille
Lille
1 : 1
Finished
Lorient
Lorient

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - Lorient March 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 4.22 / 2 6.43
  • 1X2 market: Lille 62.7% / X 22.5% / Lorient 14.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 62.6%
X 22.6%
2 14.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Lille - Lorient

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.45 market consensus · line only
X 4.23 market consensus · line only
1 1.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.08 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.52 65.8%
X 4.35 23.0%
6.76 14.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%
6.25 16.0% 6.20 16.1% 6.90 14.5% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.30 15.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.91 52.4% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.50 40.0%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Lille
W W D D L
01.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 NantesNantes
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 AngersAngers
14.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
06.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:0 MetzMetz
01.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:1 LionLion
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
8 Points
Lorient
D D W L W
01.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 2:2 AuxerreAuxerre
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:3 NiceNice
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 2:0 AngersAngers
07.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
31.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 2:1 NantesNantes
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - Lorient

Lille
1 matches total
Lorient
Lille: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lorient: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Lille 7:1 (30.08 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 8 goals (7:1, 30.08 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 7

Match history

30.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille
7:1
Lorient