Ligue 1
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| X | 3.54 28.3% |
| 3.05 32.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.32 43.1% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.67 27.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% |
| 2.96 33.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.06 32.7% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.43 41.2% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.57 63.7% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.63 61.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.38 72.5% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.42 70.4% |
Lille
Le Havre
Paris FC
Strasbourg
Angers
Nice
Marseille
Toulouse
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Angers
Full head-to-head historyLille - Marseille
Ligue 1
Marseille
The Lille - Marseille breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
