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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lille - Nantes

France Football
Lille
Lille
1 : 0
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Lille take on Nantes on March 1, 2026 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lille 1-2-2, Nantes 1-0-4. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Lille at roughly 64%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - Nantes March 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.27 / 2 6.74
  • 1X2 market: Lille 63.8% / X 22.2% / Nantes 14.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 63.8%
X 22.1%
2 14.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Market 1 63.8% @ 1.48 / X 22.1% @ 4.27 / 2 14.0% @ 6.74
Match center

Lille - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.76 market consensus · line only
X 4.28 market consensus · line only
1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.50 66.7%
X 4.42 22.6%
6.97 14.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.47 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5%
6.60 15.2% 6.90 14.5% 6.91 14.5% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.60 38.5% 2.64 37.9% 2.60 38.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.63 38.0%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Lille
W D D L L
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 AngersAngers
14.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
06.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:0 MetzMetz
01.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:1 LionLion
25.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:4 StrasbourgStrasbourg
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Nantes
W L L L L
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:0 Le HavreLe Havre
13.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:3 MonacoMonaco
07.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 LionLion
31.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 LorientLorient
25.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:4 NiceNice
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - Nantes

Lille
1 matches total
Nantes
Lille: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Lille 2:0 (19.10 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 19.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

19.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille
2:0
Nantes