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Ligue 1 France

14.02.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

14.02.2026 18:00 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Lille - Stade Brestois 29

France Football

Lille

1 : 1

Finished

Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - Stade Brestois 29 February 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.08 / 2 5.98
1X2 market: Lille 60.8% / X 23.3% / Stade Brestois 29 15.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 60.9%

X 23.3%

2 15.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 50.9%

Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.02.2026 18:00 UTC

Match center

Lille - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.00 market consensus · line only

X 4.09 market consensus · line only

1 1.56 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.41 market consensus · line only

12 1.24 market consensus · line only

1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.42 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.89 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.58 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.50 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.85 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.56 64.1%
X	4.24 23.6%
	6.37 15.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.55 64.5%	1.55 64.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.62 61.7%
X	3.85 26.0%	4.15 24.1%	4.32 23.2%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.10 24.4%
	6.00 16.7%	6.10 16.4%	6.35 15.8%	5.50 18.2%	6.25 16.0%	6.10 16.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.81 55.3%	1.90 52.6%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.94 51.6%	1.89 52.9%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.88 53.2%	1.87 53.5%	1.89 52.9%	1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.35 42.6%	2.50 40.0%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.12 89.3%	1.16 86.2%	1.10 90.9%

Match center

Lille

D L L L L

06.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 0:0 Metz

01.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 0:1 Lion

25.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 1:4 Strasbourg

16.01 20:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 0:3 Paris Saint Germain

03.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 0:2 Rennes

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

0.2 Scored

2.0 Conceded

1 Points

Stade Brestois 29

W D L L W

07.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 2:0 Lorient

01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 2:2 Nice

25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 0:2 Toulouse

18.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 1:2 Lion

04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 2:0 Auxerre

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - Stade Brestois 29

Lille

2 matches total

Stade Brestois 29

Lille: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Stade Brestois 29: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Stade Brestois 29 0:2 (10.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 17.08 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (17.08 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 3

Match history

17.08 13:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Lille

3:3

Stade Brestois 29

10.05 19:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Lille

0:2

Stade Brestois 29