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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
15.02.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
15.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lorient - Angers

France Football
Lorient
Lorient
2 : 0
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lorient - Angers February 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lorient.

Line favourite market consensus: Lorient. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.12 / 2 4.31
  • 1X2 market: Lorient 47.5% / X 30.4% / Angers 22.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 47.5%
X 30.5%
2 22.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 40.7%
Under 2.5 59.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Lorient - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.32 market consensus · line only
X 3.12 market consensus · line only
1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.36 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.05 48.8%
X 3.14 31.9%
4.49 22.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.92 52.1% 2.03 49.3% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.21 31.2% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%
4.33 23.1% 4.10 24.4% 4.47 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.81 55.3%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Lorient
L W W W D
07.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
31.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 2:1 NantesNantes
24.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 2:0 RennesRennes
16.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:1 MonacoMonaco
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 MetzMetz
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Angers
W W D L L
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 MetzMetz
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
17.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:5 MarseilleMarseille
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLorient - Angers

Lorient
1 matches total
Angers
Lorient: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Angers: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Angers 0:2 (26.10 16:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 26.10 16:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient
0:2
Angers