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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lorient - Auxerre

France Football
Lorient
Lorient
2 : 2
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Lorient meet Auxerre on March 1, 2026 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lorient 3-1-1, Auxerre 1-2-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Lorient, an implied 45% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lorient - Auxerre March 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lorient.

Line favourite market consensus: Lorient. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.21 / 2 3.79
  • 1X2 market: Lorient 45.5% / X 29.5% / Auxerre 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2% 13 books · best price +3.4%
1 45.7%
X 29.6%
2 24.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 41.8%
Under 2.5 58.2%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Market 1 45.5% @ 2.08 / X 29.5% @ 3.21 / 2 25.0% @ 3.79
Match center

Lorient - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 2.09 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.74 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.77 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.12 47.2%
X 3.30 30.3%
3.96 25.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.37 29.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.96 25.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Lorient
D W L W W
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:3 NiceNice
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 2:0 AngersAngers
07.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
31.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 2:1 NantesNantes
24.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 2:0 RennesRennes
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Auxerre
L W D D L
22.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:3 RennesRennes
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:1 MetzMetz
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 ToulouseToulouse
23.01 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLorient - Auxerre

Lorient
1 matches total
Auxerre
Lorient: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Auxerre: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Auxerre 0:1 (17.08 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 17.08 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient
0:1
Auxerre