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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
30.08.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction
30.08.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lorient - Lille

France Football
Lorient
Lorient
1 : 7
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lorient - Lille August 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.24 / X 3.47 / 2 2.21
  • 1X2 market: Lorient 29.4% / X 27.5% / Lille 43.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 29.4%
X 27.5%
2 43.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Lorient - Lille

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.21 market consensus · line only
X 3.47 market consensus · line only
1 3.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.68 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.28 30.5%
X 3.52 28.4%
2.28 43.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.34 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.62 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
2.22 45.1% 2.12 47.2% 2.27 44.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Lorient
W L
24.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 4:0 RennesRennes
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:1 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Lille
W D W L D
24.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 MonacoMonaco
17.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:1 Reims
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
04.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 MarseilleMarseille
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLorient - Lille

Lorient
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history