PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
27.09.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction
27.09.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lorient - Monaco

France Football
Lorient
Lorient
3 : 1
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lorient - Monaco September 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.33 / X 4.01 / 2 1.76
  • 1X2 market: Lorient 22.1% / X 23.8% / Monaco 54.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 22.0%
X 23.8%
2 54.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 59.2%
Under 2.5 40.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 27.09.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Lorient - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.76 market consensus · line only
X 4.02 market consensus · line only
1 4.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.27 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.40 22.7%
X 4.07 24.6%
1.79 55.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.35 23.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.43 22.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.35 23.0%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4%
1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.28 43.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.11 47.4%
Match center
Lorient
D L L W L
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
12.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:4 MarseilleMarseille
30.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:7 LilleLille
24.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 4:0 RennesRennes
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:1 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.6 Conceded
4 Points
Monaco
W W W L W
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 5:2 MetzMetz
13.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
24.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 LilleLille
16.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLorient - Monaco

Lorient
0 matches total
Monaco
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history