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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
31.01.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
31.01.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lorient - Nantes

France Football
Lorient
Lorient
2 : 1
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lorient - Nantes January 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lorient.

Line favourite market consensus: Lorient. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.45 / 2 4.22
  • 1X2 market: Lorient 49.8% / X 27.6% / Nantes 22.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 49.8%
X 27.6%
2 22.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 46.1%
Under 2.5 53.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.01.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Lorient - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.45 market consensus · line only
1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.91 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.10 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.93 51.8%
X 3.54 28.3%
4.35 23.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.58 27.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2%
4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.42 22.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.25 23.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Lorient
W W D D W
24.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 2:0 RennesRennes
16.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:1 MonacoMonaco
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 MetzMetz
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
07.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:0 LionLion
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
11 Points
Nantes
L L W L L
25.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:4 NiceNice
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 Paris FCParis FC
04.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:0 MarseilleMarseille
12.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:4 AngersAngers
06.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 LensLens
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLorient - Nantes

Lorient
1 matches total
Nantes
Lorient: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 23.11 16:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (23.11 16:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient
1:1
Nantes