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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
24.08.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
24.08.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lorient - Rennes

France Football
Lorient
Lorient
4 : 0
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lorient - Rennes August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.75 / X 3.35 / 2 2.56
  • 1X2 market: Lorient 34.5% / X 28.4% / Rennes 37.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 34.5%
X 28.4%
2 37.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 48.3%
Under 2.5 51.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lorient - Rennes

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.57 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 2.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.85 35.1%
X 3.40 29.4%
2.62 38.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.74 36.5% 2.67 37.5% 2.83 35.3% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.54 28.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
2.56 39.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.57 38.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9%
Match center
Lorient
L
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:1 AuxerreAuxerre
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Rennes
W L W L L
15.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:4 MarseilleMarseille
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:0 NiceNice
03.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 ToulouseToulouse
26.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:4 LionLion
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLorient - Rennes

Lorient
0 matches total
Rennes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history