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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
19.10.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lorient - Stade Brestois 29

France Football
Lorient
Lorient
3 : 3
Finished
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29

Lorient face Stade Brestois 29 on October 19, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lorient 1-1-3, Stade Brestois 29 2-1-2. The bookmaker line makes Lorient the favourite at about 36%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lorient - Stade Brestois 29 October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lorient.

Line favourite market consensus: Lorient. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.63 / X 3.32 / 2 2.71
  • 1X2 market: Lorient 36.2% / X 28.7% / Stade Brestois 29 35.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 36.2%
X 28.7%
2 35.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2025 15:15 UTC
Market 1 36.2% @ 2.63 / X 28.7% @ 3.32 / 2 35.1% @ 2.71
Match center

Lorient - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.71 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.47 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.72 36.8%
X 3.37 29.7%
2.75 36.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.62 38.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.74 36.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9%
2.70 37.0% 2.78 36.0% 2.78 36.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.09 47.9% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.22 45.1%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Lorient
L W D L L
03.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:2 Paris FCParis FC
27.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:1 MonacoMonaco
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
12.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:4 MarseilleMarseille
30.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:7 LilleLille
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
4 Points
Stade Brestois 29
D W W L L
04.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:0 NantesNantes
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 AngersAngers
20.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 4:1 NiceNice
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:2 Paris FCParis FC
29.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:3 LensLens
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points