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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
05.04.2025 19:05 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 19:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Lille

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
2 : 1
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Lille April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.37 / X 3.60 / 2 3.04
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 41.0% / X 27.0% / Lille 32.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 41.0%
X 27.0%
2 32.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 55.2%
Under 2.5 44.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 19:05 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 2.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.37 42.2%
X 3.60 27.8%
3.04 32.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.64 61.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.42 70.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.76 56.8%
Under 2.5 2.17 46.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.72 58.1%
2.21 45.3%
Match center
Lyon
D W W W L
27.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:2 AuxerreAuxerre
20.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 4:0 Le HavreLe Havre
06.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:0 NantesNantes
29.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
22.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 MarseilleMarseille
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Lille
W D W W D
26.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:0 LensLens
18.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:0 MonacoMonaco
05.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
28.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:0 Le HavreLe Havre
21.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Lille

Lyon
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history