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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
01.02.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
01.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Lille

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
1 : 0
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Lille February 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 3.52 / 2 3.51
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 45.9% / X 27.0% / Lille 27.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 45.9%
X 27.0%
2 27.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.52 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 2.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.46 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.11 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.10 47.6%
X 3.60 27.8%
3.66 27.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.08 48.1% 2.09 47.9% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.66 27.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%
3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.68 27.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Lyon
W W W W L
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 5:2 MetzMetz
18.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
03.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:1 MonacoMonaco
14.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
07.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:1 LorientLorient
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Lille
L L L W W
25.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:4 StrasbourgStrasbourg
16.01 20:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
03.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:2 RennesRennes
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 4:3 AuxerreAuxerre
05.12 20:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Lille

Lyon
2 matches total
Lille
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lille: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Lion 1:0 (28.09 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 05.04 19:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
1:0
Lille
05.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
2:1
Lille