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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.03.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
22.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Monaco

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
1 : 2
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Monaco March 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.79 / X 3.50 / 2 2.43
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 34.0% / X 27.1% / Monaco 38.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 34.0%
X 27.1%
2 39.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.43 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.56 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.64 37.9%
X 3.56 28.1%
2.63 38.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.91 34.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.85 35.1%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.55 28.2% 3.67 27.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
2.44 41.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.51 39.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.34 42.7%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Lyon
D D L L W
15.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
08.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:1 Paris FCParis FC
01.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 MarseilleMarseille
22.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
15.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:0 NiceNice
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Monaco
W W W W W
14.03 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
06.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:0 AngersAngers
21.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:2 LensLens
13.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 NantesNantes
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Monaco

Lyon
2 matches total
Monaco
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Monaco: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Lion 3:1 (03.01 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 03.01 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

03.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
3:1
Monaco
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
0:2
Monaco