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Start
08.03.2026 19:45 UTC
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08.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lyon - Paris FC
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lyon - Paris FC March 8, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.
Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.99 / 2 5.43
- 1X2 market: Lyon 58.6% / X 23.8% / Paris FC 17.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
58.7%
X
23.8%
2
17.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lyon - Paris FC
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.45
market consensus · line only
X
3.99
market consensus · line only
1
1.62
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.30
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
1.15
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.32
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.78
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.08
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.92
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.83
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| X | 4.09 24.5% |
| 5.70 17.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.65 60.6% | |
| X | 3.85 26.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.25 23.5% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.05 24.7% |
| 5.10 19.6% | 5.10 19.6% | 5.74 17.4% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.80 17.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.99 50.3% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.20 45.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.20 45.5% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
Match center
Lyon
L
L
W
W
W
01.03 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:3
Marseille
Marseille
22.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:3
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
15.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:0
Nice
Nice
07.02 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:0
Nantes
Nantes
01.02 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:0
Lille
Lille
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
Paris FC
W
D
L
D
D
01.03 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris FC
1:0
Nice
Nice
21.02 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris FC
1:1
Toulouse
Toulouse
14.02 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris FC
0:5
Lens
Lens
08.02 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris FC
0:0
Auxerre
Auxerre
31.01 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris FC
2:2
Marseille
Marseille
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLyon - Paris FC
Lyon
1
matches total
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Paris FC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (3:3, 29.10 20:05 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
3:3 (29.10 20:05 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
29.10 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lion
3:3
Paris FC
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