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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
18.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Stade Brestois 29

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
2 : 1
Finished
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Stade Brestois 29 January 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.98 / 2 5.24
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 57.8% / X 24.0% / Stade Brestois 29 18.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 57.8%
X 24.0%
2 18.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 52.4%
Under 2.5 47.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.25 market consensus · line only
X 3.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.75 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.65 60.6%
X 4.13 24.2%
5.41 18.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7% 4.12 24.3% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1%
5.20 19.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.69 17.6% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.99 50.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.33 42.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.32 43.1%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Lyon
W W L W D
03.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:1 MonacoMonaco
14.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
07.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:1 LorientLorient
30.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:0 NantesNantes
23.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:0 AuxerreAuxerre
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Stade Brestois 29
W L W W W
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
13.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:3 RennesRennes
05.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:0 MonacoMonaco
30.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:2 MetzMetz
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Stade Brestois 29

Lyon
1 matches total
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Stade Brestois 29: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (02.11 19:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

02.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
0:0
Stade Brestois 29