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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
26.10.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Strasbourg

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
2 : 1
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Strasbourg October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.69 / 2 3.82
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 49.1% / X 25.9% / Strasbourg 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 49.2%
X 25.9%
2 25.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 56.3%
Under 2.5 43.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Strasbourg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.71 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.28 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.93 51.8%
X 3.77 26.5%
4.03 24.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.65 27.4% 3.78 26.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0%
3.65 27.4% 3.95 25.3% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.24 44.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.34 42.7%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Lyon
L L W W L
18.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 NiceNice
05.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:2 ToulouseToulouse
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 LilleLille
19.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 AngersAngers
14.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:3 RennesRennes
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Strasbourg
D W L W W
17.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 5:0 AngersAngers
26.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 MarseilleMarseille
21.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:2 Paris FCParis FC
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Strasbourg

Lyon
0 matches total
Strasbourg
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history