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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
27.10.2024 19:45 UTC Match prediction
27.10.2024 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Marseille - Paris Saint Germain

France Football
Marseille
Marseille
0 : 3
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Paris Saint Germain October 27, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.29 / X 4.08 / 2 1.81
  • 1X2 market: Marseille 22.6% / X 23.8% / Paris Saint Germain 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 22.6%
X 23.8%
2 53.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.10.2024 19:45 UTC
Match center

Marseille - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.81 market consensus · line only
X 4.08 market consensus · line only
1 4.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.29 23.3%
X 4.08 24.5%
1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.09 47.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.26 30.7%
1.38 72.5%
Match center
Marseille
W D L W W
20.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:0 Montpellier
04.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:1 AngersAngers
29.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
22.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:2 LionLion
14.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:0 NiceNice
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W D W D W
19.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 NiceNice
27.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 RennesRennes
21.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 Reims
14.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
11 Points