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Ligue 1 France

08.11.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction

08.11.2025 16:00 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Marseille - Stade Brestois 29

France Football

Marseille

3 : 0

Finished

Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Stade Brestois 29 November 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.59 / 2 6.47
1X2 market: Marseille 64.6% / X 20.7% / Stade Brestois 29 14.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 64.6%

X 20.7%

2 14.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%

Over 2.5 57.8%

Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 08.11.2025 16:00 UTC

Match center

Marseille - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.47 market consensus · line only

X 4.60 market consensus · line only

1 1.47 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.68 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 1.12 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.73 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.10 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.98 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.97 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.50 66.7%
X	4.70 21.3%
	6.52 15.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.45 69.0%	1.47 68.0%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%	1.48 67.6%	1.50 66.7%
X	4.55 22.0%	4.75 21.1%	4.78 20.9%	4.40 22.7%	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%
	6.50 15.4%	6.20 16.1%	6.86 14.6%	6.00 16.7%	6.25 16.0%	6.80 14.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.95 51.3%	2.01 49.8%	1.96 51.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.94 51.6%	2.05 48.8%
yes	1.77 56.5%	1.78 56.2%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.77 56.5%	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.70 37.0%	2.74 36.5%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.72 36.8%	2.78 36.0%
home_away	1.15 87.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.10 90.9%	1.13 88.5%	1.13 88.5%	1.10 90.9%	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%

Match center

Marseille

W D L W W

01.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 1:0 Auxerre

29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 2:2 Angers

25.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 1:2 Lens

18.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 6:2 Le Havre

04.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 3:0 Metz

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

10 Points

Stade Brestois 29

D L L D D

02.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 0:0 Lion

29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 0:1 Le Havre

25.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 0:3 Paris Saint Germain

19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 3:3 Lorient

04.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 0:0 Nantes

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Stade Brestois 29

Marseille

1 matches total

Stade Brestois 29

Marseille: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Stade Brestois 29: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Marseille 4:1 (27.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 27.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

27.04 18:45 UTC

Ligue 1

Marseille

4:1

Stade Brestois 29